By Kevin Woster
Investigative political reporting involves a lot of back-channel snooping, herculean efforts on the telephone and crafty source development at secluded tables in the back corners of shady cafes.
Or, you just check your e-mail.
I did one or the other last week - you guess which - and came up with a copy of Glen Bolger’s recent poll of 400 likely GOP voters in next year’s Republican governor’s primary.
Guess what? They liked Rounds. Who’da figured?
Almost 70 percent of those surveyed said South Dakota is headed in the right direction; 83 percent gave the governor a favorable rating; and 81 percent said they think the next governor should continue Rounds’ policies.
(No, it’s not true that the polling phone banks were staffed entirely by members of the Rounds family, although they could been, going strictly by staffing potential…)
Among GOP candidates, state Sen. Dave Knudson had the highest name ID, with 70 percent. After that it was Lt. Gov. Dennis Daugaard, 58 percent, Scott Munsterman, 45 percent, and Ken Knuppe 32 percent.
But Dauggard won in the favorable department, with 32 percent to 1 percent unfavorable; Knudson was 26 percent to 7, Munsterman 10 percent to 3 percent and Knuppe 8 percent to 3 percent.
And a pretty impressive 26 percent said the would vote for Daugaard, followed by Knudson with 9 percent, Munsterman 6 percent and Knuppe 3 percent, leaving the majority of GOP voters still undecided and confused (OK, I threw in the “confused” part on my own.).
Knudson also loses with the GOP voters surveyed on the abortion issue, where he’s pro-choice. Likewise he loses out on guns, where his “D” rating from the NRA - which, frankly, can be based on a single issue or vote that the, uh, somewhat demanding organization decided was absolutely defining - may or may not move most South Dakotans, especially Democrats and Independents, should he reach the general.
But enough editorializing (God bless the NRA! Uh, sometimes…). The NRA grade - which is the same one I got in two semesters of editing class at SDSU - isn’t great for Knudson in a Republic primary. But it’s worth nothing that Knudson has been awarded the 2009 legislator conservationist award by the South Dakota Wildlife Federation. That’s not the same as a gubernatorial endorsement, as Chris Hesla points out below. But it’s clearly a sign of respect from SDWF, and they’re not exactly anti-gun.
Still, Bolger’s Public Opinion Strategies produced a nice package of polling data that has to make Daugaard - a member of the Rounds team - feel pretty good. It should, of course, since his campaign paid for it.
Which doesn’t mean the results aren’t valid. Or that they shouldn’t worry the other candidates, Knudson in particular. But it would be interesting to see how the questions were framed.
It always is.