By Bill Harlan
Welcome to Mount Blogmore Crystal Ball 2006, wherein all of us make our predictions for South Dakota politics in the coming year. But first, a brief recap of some of my predictions a year ago for 2005. Among those predictions:
8. South Dakota’s proposal to convert the Homestake mine into a national undergound lab proposal will make the next cut in the National Science Foundation’s selection process. I will write my 439th underground lab story, thus breaking Ty Cobb’s old record.
9. Environmental groups will sue to stop the Forest Service from implementing Phase II of the Forest Plan for the Black Hills, thus paving the way for another Guiness Book of World Records entry: Longest time taken to develop a 15-year forest plan. (So far it has taken 14 years.)
10. Ellsworth Air Force Base will be named to the base closure list.
Numer 8? Done!
Number 10? He scores! (although I admit I shied away from predicting whether it would be removed from the list, which it was.)
Number 9? Well, they’ve threatened to sue, but the lawsuit has not been filed.
You can see my other 2005 predictions by clicking on “December 2004″ on the calendar at right, though I’m not suggesting the trip would be worth it.
Nor am I suggesting that my predictions for 2006 are worth the electrons from which they are formed. In addition, I also aver that the following predictions are not based on any polling, any interviews or any research of any kind. That said, I predict for 2006:
1. South Dakota’s proposal to convert the Homestake mine into a national undergound lab will make the next cut in the National Science Foundation’s selection process. I will write my 511th underground lab story, thus breaking Gordy Howe’s old record. Then I’ll be forced to tearfully admit to a congressional subcommittee that I did it while taking human growth hormones. The committee chairman, after looking at my body, will suggest I try to get my money back.
2. This time, no kidding, an environmental group will sue to overturn the Phase II amendment.
3. Voter’s will approve Bill Napoli’s property-tax measure; members-elect of the 2007 Legislature will search eBay to get deals on seppuku swords.
4. Gov. Mike Rounds is re-elected in a landslide over Ron Volesky — either because of or despite the fact that Ron’s press conferences are much more entertaining.
5. Voters will reject an initiated measure to provide safe access to medical marijuana. (Supporters of the measure were holding their breath but not because they thought the vote would be close.)
6. More than 80 percent of voters who cast ballots on a measure “to revise certain provisions related to county zoning and conditional use permits” will have no idea what they just voted on.
7. Voters, feeling guilty about rejecting medical marijuana, will approve increases on cigarette and alcohol taxes.
8. Voters will reject changing the definition of gambling because there is no way you can persuade people that a Texas hold ‘em tournament isn’t gambling.
9. Voters will reject restrictions on the way state aircraft are used. Why. Not two seconds ago they voted for Mike Rounds. They just don’t care if he went to a football game during a trip on state business.
10. Voters will reject as measure to prohibit school from starting before Aug. 31. Although many South Dakota business people employee teenagers, it turns out that by the middle of August many more South Dakotans want to get kids of all ages out of their hair.
And now, Blogmorites, let’s have your predictions.